WAR & PEACE- page 2 of 7 pages

BY BILL HANSEN

It has been suggested that the rate of sunspot change, rather than the actual number of sunspots, is the leading indicator of warfare. Buryl Payne observed that international battles tend to begin a year or two before - or sometimes a year after - sunspot peaks, but never exactly at the maximum. Based on the accompanying table, wars increase to a peak and decrease to a trough within one year of sunspot highs and lows 59% of the time. There is a 92% correlation within two years (before and after). The probability that the correlation between wars and sunspots is due to chance is only one in one hundred twenty five.[1]

The physical mechanism responsible for this statistical fact is geomagnetic activity. Geomagnetic activity is highest either just prior to or just after sunspot peaks, but not at the time of maximum sunspot activity.

The Sun is the supreme generator of geomagnetic fluctuations. Solar activity disturbs the Earth’s magnetic field and apparently changes brain rhythms and the hormone balance of animals and humans. Many studies demonstrate that living organisms are highly sensitive to magnetic changes in the range of the Earth’s field or less (Brown, 1967, Becker, 1983). How small magnetic fields affect human behavior is still largely unknown. Magnetic materials found in dolphins, pigeons, bacteria, and other animals – but not in humans – supposedly modulates geomagnetic changes in the environment. The lack of magnetic materials in the human body means another mediating element must be involved. It might be water. Water is extremely affected by magnetic fields (Ellingsen, 1979).

Extensive scientific inquiry has found that crimes, riots, accidents, and many human ailments (ranging from the flu to heart attacks and psychosis) tend to increase at times of geomagnetic storms. Anxiety and irritation rise with strong solar storms and geomagnetic disturbances - this could account for the wave of violence, accidents, and illness reported.

The geomagnetic field closely follows the sunspot cycle, although there may be as much as a year’s difference between sunspot maximums and geomagnetic peaks. There is also a strong cycle in geomagnetic data that does not synchronize with solar cycles. This cycle is 9.7-years, which correlates with a 9.6-year cycle in international battles discovered by Dewey in 1970. Geomagnetism is influenced by several planetary factors. Geomagnetic storms, for instance, are prevalent when the Moon is full. There are also strong disturbances in the spring and fall when the Earth crosses the solar equator. Certain planetary alignments are also a key factor in triggering sunspots and geomagnetism.

John H. Nelson, short-wave radio quality forecaster for RCA Communications New York, worked out a method of predicting sunspots based on planetary aspects of 0, 90, and 180-degrees. Nelson found that when three hard aspects are made within a 5-degree orb storms on the Sun increase.[2] At least one aspect involving the Earth, Mercury, Venus, or Mars must be made to Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, or Pluto. Jupiter/Saturn aspects produced the most severe disturbances. Storms are generally greater and more numerous when multiple planetary aspects occur.

Buryl Payne, Ph.D., however, found that only some planetary conjunctions are associated with increased solar activity; other planetary alignments are associated with decreased sunspot numbers. Solar activity, for instance, increases by about 15% when Mercury is conjunct Uranus, but decreases by 33% when Mercury is conjunct Earth. The fact remains that solar storms are somehow triggered by, and certainly correlate with, a complex array of planetary configurations.

We know that the Sun’s energy output fluctuates throughout the sunspot cycle. The flow of solar energy into inter-planetary space is accompanied by strong magnetic fields. The solar wind pushes back the Earth’s magnetic field into the shape of a teardrop. The electromagnetic qualities of the solar wind also interact with the Earth’s field – the magnetosphere – causing intensity variations. A variety of extremely low frequency (ELF) and very low frequency (VLF) electromagnetic waves are created in this natural magnetic environment. Studies of the effects of ELF and VLF electromagnetic fields on humans and animals number in the hundreds.

Researchers have discovered a relationship between ELF and VLF magnetic fields and changes in many biological systems. In vitro studies point to ELF sensitivities in cellular signaling, ionic flow rates, DNA synthesis, systemic responsiveness to hormones and neurotransmitters, animal passivity, and human reaction time and behavior. Brain chemistry and body metabolism are apparently affected by weak electromagnetic fields. Interestingly, it seems to be the frequency and rate of change in the Earth’s field that creates the effects observed. Biological systems have a difficult time adjusting to rapid changes in field frequency and intensity. Steady change, even at much higher intensity, does not seem to elicit the same disturbing effects that rapid change does. Geomagnetic field strength varies, of course, in response to changes in the solar wind (flow and levels of solar radiation from sunspots). These weak ELF fields likely produce changes in neurotransmitter levels and cellular responsiveness. In this way, human behavior is pulled by the Sun!

The Sun literally electrifies us. The rate of change in the geomagnetic field created by the Sun’s varying output is one factor that modulates a variety of economic and financial activities. The annual rate of change in the U.S. Gross National Product has been compared with Ap (a measurement of electromagnetism) changes in the upper environment. As the intensity of electromagnetic storms rage in the ionosphere, human productivity increases! Consumer prices rise and fall with the Ap index, as does the spot gold price. Bond yields also rise and fall with the annual rate of change in Ap. No wonder then that the stock market (DJIA) rises and falls with electromagnetic disturbances.

The financial markets change as human sentiment changes. Since human behavior is to a certain extent influenced by rapid changes in the geomagnetic field, we might suppose that geomagnetic fluctuations are a factor in market conditions. It is easy to connect this line of thinking with sunspots and human excitability – and war.